Drought. Drought. And more drought. You probably get tired of
hearing me talk about it and I know those of you affected are tired of
having to deal with it.
Again this year many areas are facing severe drought. You would
think that after the past few years we would know what to do and make
appropriate adjustments right away. But I think there are some important
differences between this year's drought and those we have experienced the
past few years.
For starters, this year the drought has affected pastures and crops
much earlier than most other years. Cool-season grasses are virtually done
growing for the year; even with good rainfall they will no longer produce
like they would have if moisture had been available during spring.
Warm-season grasses still can respond well if you get decent rainfall here
yet in June. But if it waits until mid-July before it rains very much,
these grasses also will have little ability to grow.
Secondly, the economics of feeding your way out of drought has
changed dramatically. Before you could find hay for thirty, forty, or at
most sixty dollars per ton. Now hay already is running eighty to one
hundred dollars per ton. And grain prices are up, too, for those of you
limit feeding corn. Can you really afford to feed all your cows until next
spring? And how much rain will you have by then?
This year's drought is especially tough for you livestock producers
who rely on pasture. It's time for some tough decisions.
[June 9th, 2006]